The Bank of England announced earlier this week that the base rate was being cut by 0.25%, taking the base rate from 5.25% down to 5%. The announcement came after the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on Thursday, but did not come as a surprise to many industry experts who had been expecting the bank to cut rates as a result of the slowing economy and the credit squeeze.
Most analysts had originally been predicting that the next rate cut would come in May until recently. However, in a recent report the governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, announced that the likelihood of an April cut was strong because of the ongoing credit crunch, which has been affecting affordability for homeowners and has therefore been affecting the economy.
Experts have now started speculating over when the next interest rate cut will be, as many expect the base rate to fall to 4.5% or even 4% this year. One industry official said: ‘We forecast the next 25 basis point cut to 4.75% to occur in June or July and anticipate that interest rates will fall to 4.25% by the end of 2008 and to 4.00% in the first quarter of 2009.’
Another industry official said: ‘This cut was badly needed. Higher interbank and mortgage lending rates are dampening investment, consumer demand and economic activity, and today’s cut should ease conditions a little. Weaker economic growth through the year ahead will help keep inflation under control over the longer term, so a reduction in rates now does not compromise the Bank’s stance on inflation.’
A number of lenders have already passed the full rate cut onto consumers by reducing their variable rates by 0.25% in line with the base rate cut, but some have continued to hike up their interest rates despite the base rate cut.
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Over the past eight months a series of base rate cuts by the Bank of England have seen the base interest rate plummet to its lowest level in the three hundred and fifteen year history of the Bank of England, standing at just 0.5 percent. According to recent reports many industry experts are now expecting the base interest rate to remain at this historic low level well into the course of next year.»

A policymaker from the Bank of England has said that the recent rate cuts are going to take some time to take effect and feed through to the economy. Andrew Sentance reckons that negative performance indicators in the economy will continue into next year despite the recent drastic rate cuts, as these will need time to actually filter through and will not make any immediate difference to the economy.»

In April of this year the Bank of England cut the base rate for the third time since December of last year, cutting it by a further 0.25% and taking it from 5.25% to 5%. Following the rate cut the majority of analysts and economists predicted that there would not be a further interest rate cut in May, as the central bank has not cut rates back to back for seven years. These predictions were proven right, as the Bank of England announced that there is to be no base rate cut for May following the recently Monetary Policy Committee meeting.»

An industry official has expressed concern that the Bank of England is effectively losing control of retail interest rates, stating that the recent base rate cuts by the central bank have often gone ignored by lenders, who have continued to raise their interest rates despite the base rate cut. Since December there have been three cuts in the base rate, taking it from 5.75% to 5%, but many lenders have continued hiking up the interest rates on borrowing such as mortgages, personal loans, and credit cards.»

Earlier this week the Monetary Policy Committee met up for the July monthly meeting with regards to reviewing the base interest rate. »

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